After an excellent yr in 2024, with report exports and home costs at nominal highs, the outlook for the pig manufacturing sector stays optimistic for 2025. All the pieces signifies that international and home demand for pork in Brazil ought to proceed to be sturdy. On the provision aspect, Cepea’s preliminary estimates point out a rise within the sector’s manufacturing. On the exterior entrance, the nationwide swine trade ought to proceed to deal with the international market, in search of to strengthen and/or enhance its place within the rating of the largest worldwide gamers.
The wonderful export efficiency in recent times is linked to the sector’s efforts to extend its presence within the international market amid the gradual discount (beginning in mid-2022) of imports by China. Even within the face of diminished shipments to China, shipments to different buying and selling companions ought to assure one other yr of fine export efficiency.
Cepea research point out that in 2025, international pork gross sales might develop by as much as 6.6% in comparison with the quantity in 2024, reaching 1.22 million tons. On the home market, demand for pork ought to stay agency in 2025, particularly contemplating that beef costs are excessive. USDA estimates level to a 1.8% improve in per capita pork consumption in Brazil in 2025.
To ensure that the exterior and inner calls for for Brazilian protein to be sustainably met all through 2025, Cepea researchers point out that the quantity of pork produced ought to attain round 5.53 million tons this yr, a rise of two.8% in comparison with that projected for 2024.
January 3, 2025/ CEPEA/ Brazil.
https://www.cepea.esalq.usp.br
