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Japan’s pork manufacturing anticipated to carry agency in 2025 – USDA FAS


Inflation influences decisions, however pork nonetheless on the menu


11 April 2025

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2 minute learn

Japan’s pork manufacturing is predicted to carry agency in 2025, whilst inflation reshapes shopper decisions and logistical hurdles disrupt provide chains, in accordance with a current market report from the US Division of Agriculture’s Overseas Agricultural Service (USDA FAS). 

Farmers are sustaining herd sizes, choosing high quality over amount. Though the sow inhabitants dipped barely in 2024, a secure tempo of slaughter and constant carcass weight have saved manufacturing resilient.

Regardless of larger feed costs lingering effectively above 2020 ranges, carcass costs have stayed elevated, giving producers a lifeline. There have been no main illness outbreaks in 2024, permitting operations to proceed easily.

Imports ease as inventories swell

Imports of pork are projected to fall barely in 2025. This dip follows a buildup of ending shares in 2024 and chronic strain on Japan’s chilly storage and transportation networks. With restricted warehouse area and a truck driver scarcity, importers are taking part in it secure.

Retailers and merchants have pivoted towards more cost effective frozen pork, largely from Brazil, which surged by 124% year-on-year. In distinction, imports of chilled and processed pork merchandise dropped, reflecting each inflationary warning and shifting shopper preferences.

Pork holds floor on the plate

Inflation-weary customers in Japan are sticking with pork. Per capita retail gross sales held regular at 7.6 kilograms in each 2023 and 2024, whilst costs nudged up. Shoppers have gravitated towards extra inexpensive cuts with out lowering total quantity.

In eating places, notably Chinese language institutions, pork stays a scorching ticket. Gross sales climbed 11% in 2024, outpacing the sector’s common development. In the meantime, shopper spending on premium proteins like beef continued to lag, reinforcing pork’s function as Japan’s on a regular basis staple.

As 2025 unfolds, pork stands agency in Japan’s altering foodscape—an accessible, versatile, and dependable supply of protein for households and companies alike.



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