Ukraine’s pork producers confronted elevated uncertainty as a result of Russia-Ukraine conflict. In each 2024 and 2025, there have been public studies about bombings, shelling, and drone assaults in opposition to pig farms in japanese Ukraine. On January 1, 2025, Ukraine’s largest pork producer, APK Make investments, introduced the lack of management over a number of manufacturing amenities now located in occupied territories. The business continues to endure from advanced logistics, the mobilization of employees, elevated taxation, together with a brand new conflict tax, an unstable macroeconomic setting, forex fluctuations, market losses on account of inhabitants outflows, electrical energy shortages, and different war-related elements. Business famous worker conscription and the animal illness state of affairs are the primary manufacturing danger elements in 2025. The conflict has shifted the geographical progress of the swine business to central and western Ukraine.
After a pointy improve in slaughter in 2024, a 13% decline in slaughter (to 6650 thousand head) and a 12% decline in pork manufacturing (to 610 thousand MT) is predicted in 2025, adopted by a slight rebound in 2026. Business studies satisfaction with hog sale costs, however expects the 2025 pork provide to be inadequate, prompting imports of 30 thousand MT.
African swine fever (ASF) stays a serious drawback for the business. Lack of business or state-subsidized insurance coverage discourages manufacturing and limits export alternatives. Outbreak elimination and depopulation laws usually lead to elevated manufacturing dangers which can be past producers’ management.
Retail pork costs reached an all-time excessive in 2025, miserable consumption. Pork additionally grew to become comparatively costlier vis-à-vis beef and poultry; nevertheless, costs of all three proteins grew considerably, which favored poultry. Diminished consumption is more likely to proceed amongst much less prosperous customers.
September 17, 2025/ USDA/ United States.
https://apps.fas.usda.gov
